Corn
U.S. corn
futures slipped, ending near session lows amid profit-taking after sharp recent
gains and positioning ahead of Friday's USDA report. The market traded both
sides of unchanged during the session but ended on a weak note. Sharply lower
wheat pressured other grains, analysts said. Some analysts also said the market
is short-term overbought and due for a correction. While traders expect the USDA
to cut its projected crop size Friday, a big reduction might be needed to
continue fueling the recent bull market, traders say. Funds sold an estimated
7,000 contracts Wednesday. September corn fell 4 cents, or 0.9%, to $4.47 1/2 a
bushel. December corn settled down 3 3/4 cents, or 0.8%, at $4.62 1/2.
Wheat
U.S. wheat
futures closed sharply lower after a late sell-off fueled by profit-taking and a
larger-than-expected estimate for Canada's ending stocks. The markets
gave back gains for the second consecutive day after CBOT Dec wheat climbed 6.7%
last week. Statistics Canada provided a bearish surprise by
estimating stocks as of July 31 at 7.8 million metric tons, up 19% from a year
earlier. That makes Canada
look like a stronger competitor to the U.S. for export business, a broker
said. Demand for U.S. wheat
has increased since a severe drought slashed output in Russia. But
Egypt, the world's top wheat
importer, snubbed the U.S. in a tender Wednesday and bought
French wheat. CBOT December wheat closed down 24 1/4 cents at $7.11 a bushel,
KCBT December wheat fell 18 1/2 cents to $7.34 1/2, and MGE December wheat was
down 20 1/2 cents to $7.33 1/4.
Soybeans
U.S. soybean
futures closed slightly lower in a turnaround from Tuesday's rally to nine-month
highs. Prices see-sawed between positive and negative territory during the
session as the market consolidated in front of USDA crop reports Friday, traders
say. Market participants are waiting for updated estimates on
U.S. soy production and yield.
Indications so far point to a big U.S. crop, analysts said. Prices
ended down even though USDA on Wednesday said U.S. exporters sold 115,000 tons of soybeans to
China, the world's top soybean
importer. "There's plenty of room for USDA to increase exports from the August
forecast, and there's plenty of room for them to take down production," said
Dave Marshall, an independent marketing advisor in Illinois. Commodity funds
sold an estimated 2,000 contracts at CBOT, a light amount. CBOT November
soybeans closed down 3 1/4 cents at $10.48 3/4 a bushel.
Soybean
Meal/Oil
U.S. soy
product futures finished weaker with soybeans. Soyoil held up relatively well
after Statistics Canada pegged canola stocks as of July 31 above trade
estimates. Soyoil and canola oil are both vegetable oils. The agency put
Canada's stocks as of July 31 at 2.1
million tons, up almost 28% from a year earlier. "The idea that there is a
little bit more canola out there does mute some of the bullishness" in soyoil, a
broker says. Soyoil climbed Tuesday after USDA announced heavy soyoil export
sales. Commodity funds were sellers across the grain and soy complex Wednesday,
including an estimated 1,000 soyoil and 2,000 soymeal contracts. CBOT December
soymeal closed down $1.90 at $304.80 per short ton, and CBOT December soyoil
ended down 0.11 cent at 41.68 cents per pound.
Oats
CBOT oats
ended slightly higher. September oats settled up 1 cent to $2.95 1/2 per bushel
while December oats climbed 1 cent to $3.04.
Pork
Complex
Pit-traded
CME hogs closed higher on short covering following futures' slide Tuesday. Fund
buying cropped up after October and December hogs cleared major chart resistance
hurdles. And, October and December futures played host to the first of five days
of the current Goldman roll period. The "roll" consists of funds moving their
spot October hog long positions mainly into December. The process is done in
association with such commodity index as the Standard & Poor's Goldman Sachs
Commodity Index. Meanwhile, easing tension about European banks generated
deep-deferred hog contract buying interest. Domestic and foreign consumers may
be more inclined to buy expensive meat protein if they are less concerned about
the state of the global economy. Spot October hogs ended at 76.30 cents a pound,
up 0.70 cent, or 0.925%. The contract earlier pushed through 75.65-cents 100-day
and 75.92-cents 10-day day moving average resi! stance barriers. October hogs
also overcame 76.05-cents and 76.12-cents 40-day moving average resistance
obstacles.
Cattle
After
pit-traded CME live cattle's fund-induced tumble Tuesday, futures settled higher
Wednesday on $98 per hundredweight cash cattle returns that bested last week's
mostly $97 outcome. October and December contracts took out their respective
96.93-cents and 98.84-cents 20-day moving average resistance targets with tipped
off fund buyers. And, nearby December benefited from funds that rolled into the
contract out of spot October on the first of five days for the current Goldman
roll period. The "roll" is tied to such commodity index funds as the Standard
& Poor's Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. Spot October live cattle ended up
0.90 cent a pound, or 0.9%, at 97.25 cents. Nearby December finished up 1.00
cent, or 1.0%, at 99.70 cents. Feeder cattle futures posted a flat-to-firm
finish on spillover live cattle support and short covering. Most-actively traded
October finished unchanged at 112.42 cents. November close! d up 0.02 cent, or
0.02%, at 113.42 cents.
Wil
Manweiler
Dunkerton
Co-op
PO
Box
286
Dunkerton IA 50626
319-822-4291
wilman@dunkertoncoop.com
Data and comments provided for
information purposes only and not intended to be used for specific trading
strategies. Information is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed
accurate or complete. Commodity trading involves risks and those risks should be
fully understood before trading.